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You don’t need to be a soothsayer to see that, a post three American wars in Afghanistan, Irak and Lybia exclude a hardliner as President of the United States going warmongering again and again to implement American will throughout the world - if necessary by forces and fire power - needly to speak about the drones anonymous planes killers.

Still the issue is on the GOP voters to decide between the moderates : Mitt Romney and Ron Paul and the hardliners, Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum, bearing in mind there is a seed for war persuasion strategy rooted in each American president, as many of them has waged wars either as a tool for influence and threat or on real scale.

Now, if a moderate is already half his way to war, imagine the hardliner’s path. Poutine stamped it "Middle Ages Crusades" alike Lybian so called "no-fly zone" ending in an unpunished destabilising and questionable killing commando mission. Look how Lybia is slipping progressively into chaos with plenty of arms in circulation that translate into militia groups fighting each other. Eventually, American warmongering will lead a once stable Lybia to the past Liberian model. Decades of instability and civil war are looming for Libya.

War as an option doesn’t systematically stand as strenght. It may well be a lack of idea and optionnal strategy. A saying goes like this : "where there is some (good) will, there will always be a path". This is the first part of the decision for GOP electors.

The second part is : Tax evasion in tax havens or asking his wife for an open marriage, which is less tolerable ? Is a man twice divorced but clean with his tax returns, Newt Gingrich - he claims to have paid $994,708 on an adjusted gross income of $3.14 million in 2010 and posted his tax documents on line - best representing GOP’s core religious and family relationships values ?

What about the delay asked by Mitt Romney in releasing his tax returns ? And the other issue of tax evasion showing he was untruthful to the taxation laws ?

Being untruthful to the taxation or being untruthful to the family, which is tolerable ? The issue here is a real headache. To part the two here is a proposal : Mitt Romney has to be fined to get everything in order, has he tried to evade taxation.

For Gingrich, I don’t have the remedy or the prescription. May be only God has one : His leniency. More, considering the ultimate fight against Obama, I may advise Newt Gingrich, if he is really thinking of the nomination, to immediately enter into a diet in order to lose weight. The chic and smart singing Obama will just swallow him in one bite.

Here is a crucial information for Newt : the French left presidential candidate, François Hollande, has got into a diet during last year and has lost nearly 30 pounds. OK. I agree it may be too much : presidential campaign is not a miss contest or a fashion show. I also agree that, contrary to the top of the top, the designer, Karl Lagarfeld, Mr. Hollande had ended up with some deep wrinkles he didn’t wear before on his face. The diet was so drastically conducted that some signs of miscontrol are cleary visible. Which means, should Newt Gingrich enter a period of harsh diet starting from today, at the end of the year, he’d just succeed in getting ugly. So what is best, take the risk of suffering some ugliness or a total defeat against Obama for overweight and warrior integrism ?

Unlike Gingrich, François Hollande is a moderate and humanist socialist. But like him, he is separated from the women he got 4 children with. Fortunately for him, family stability is not a crucial issue in France. So the obstacle were easy to cross. Add to this the disarray of President Sarkozy who is crossing his hell period with the long announced degradation of France triple A. To conjure this, French president came out - previously to the degradation - with two wrong proposals in dispute. First, an increase of the value added tax "labelled social VAT" - and second a tax on financial transactions, inspired from the Tobin’s tax.

The bottom line is this tax Tobin like is just getting around the real problem which is the existence of Tax heavens. We all have in mind the drama played out by French president in London, during the G20 meeting, in 2009, at the time Gordon Brown was still the PM. At that G2O session, President Sarkozy heightened the tune asking to fix the tax heavens problem. Other world leaders personnalities just kept silent while Obama was exposing his best large smile : it was his first visit to Europe as President of the United States.

2009-2012, about three years later, nobody has even talked again about Tax haven locations. Everybody is coping with that. Mitt Romney has simply followed the regrettable entire world leadership cooperation on the issue.

I mean, how President Sarkozy could ask for a tax on financial transactions in perfect knowledge of the impossibility to hold grip on illegal financialization ? Yesterday, addressing a pattern of small businesses in a new year greetings ceremony in Lyon city (in France), president Sarkozy qualified those who are mocking or opposing his tax on financial transactions as belonging to a club : "the ball of hypocrites". It was his way to recall the left wing (Socialists and Greens) the idea was theirs, at first place and today they are rejecting it, in a flip-flopping political move.

Meanwhile, nobody is talking anymore about Tax havens places ; not even in a whisper. Are you there ?

Picture. Candidates debate in NH